Discounted Cash Flow

Peoples Financial Services Corp.

PFIS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $19.6m $21.3m $2.65
2017 $18.5m (-5.7%) $22.3m (5.0%) $2.50 (-5.7%)
2018 $24.9m (35.0%) $28.6m (27.8%) $3.37 (34.8%)
2019 $25.7m (3.3%) $31.5m (10.2%) $3.48 (3.3%)
2020 $29.4m (14.1%) $34.9m (10.8%) $4.02 (15.5%)
2021 $43.5m (48.3%) $35.9m (2.9%) $6.05 (50.5%)
2022 $38.1m (-12.5%) $34.5m (-3.8%) $5.31 (-12.2%)
2023 $27.4m (-28.1%) $27.3m (-20.9%) $3.85 (-27.5%)
2024 $8.5m (-69.0%) $31.3m (14.7%) $1.00 (-74.0%)
2025 $59.2m (596.5%) $43.3m (38.3%) $5.92 (492.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model