Discounted Cash Flow
Pultegroup Inc./Mi/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.7b | $602.7m | $29.0m | 7.9% | $1.76 |
| 2017 | $8.6b (11.8%) | $447.2m (-25.8%) | $631.0m (2077.8%) | 5.2% (-33.6%) | $1.45 (-17.6%) |
| 2018 | $10.2b (18.8%) | $1.0b (128.5%) | $1.4b (120.4%) | 10.0% (92.3%) | $3.56 (145.5%) |
| 2019 | $10.2b (0.2%) | $1.0b (-0.5%) | $1.0b (-26.7%) | 10.0% (-0.8%) | $3.67 (3.1%) |
| 2020 | $11.0b (8.1%) | $1.4b (38.4%) | $1.7b (69.3%) | 12.7% (28.1%) | $5.19 (41.4%) |
| 2021 | $13.9b (26.2%) | $1.9b (38.3%) | $931.2m (-46.0%) | 14.0% (9.6%) | $7.44 (43.4%) |
| 2022 | $16.2b (16.5%) | $2.6b (34.5%) | $555.8m (-40.3%) | 16.1% (15.4%) | $11.07 (48.8%) |
| 2023 | $16.1b (-1.0%) | $2.6b (-0.6%) | $2.1b (278.7%) | 16.2% (0.5%) | $11.79 (6.5%) |
| 2024 | $17.9b (11.7%) | $3.1b (18.5%) | $1.6b (-25.8%) | 17.2% (6.0%) | $14.82 (25.7%) |
| 2025 | $17.3b (-3.5%) | $2.2b (-28.0%) | $1.7b (11.9%) | 12.8% (-25.4%) | $11.21 (-24.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.