Discounted Cash Flow
Polaris Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.5b | $212.9m | $362.6m | 4.7% | $3.31 |
| 2017 | $5.4b (20.2%) | $172.5m (-19.0%) | $395.6m (9.1%) | 3.2% (-32.6%) | $2.74 (-17.2%) |
| 2018 | $6.1b (12.0%) | $335.3m (94.4%) | $251.7m (-36.4%) | 5.5% (73.6%) | $5.36 (95.6%) |
| 2019 | $6.8b (11.6%) | $324.0m (-3.4%) | $403.7m (60.4%) | 4.8% (-13.4%) | $5.27 (-1.7%) |
| 2020 | $7.0b (3.6%) | $124.8m (-61.5%) | $804.7m (99.3%) | 1.8% (-62.8%) | $2.02 (-61.7%) |
| 2021 | $8.2b (16.7%) | $493.9m (295.8%) | $-4.6m (-100.6%) | 6.0% (239.3%) | $8.06 (299.0%) |
| 2022 | $8.6b (4.8%) | $447.1m (-9.5%) | $202.0m (4491.3%) | 5.2% (-13.6%) | $7.54 (-6.5%) |
| 2023 | $8.9b (4.0%) | $502.8m (12.5%) | $513.2m (154.1%) | 5.6% (8.1%) | $8.80 (16.7%) |
| 2024 | $7.2b (-19.7%) | $110.8m (-78.0%) | $6.5m (-98.7%) | 1.5% (-72.6%) | $1.96 (-77.7%) |
| 2025 | $7.2b (-0.3%) | $-465.5m (-520.1%) | $558.1m (8486.2%) | -6.5% (-521.5%) | $-8.18 (-517.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.