Discounted Cash Flow
Packaging Corp. of America
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.8b | $449.6m | $526.9m | 7.8% | $4.76 |
| 2017 | $6.4b (11.5%) | $668.6m (48.7%) | $513.1m (-2.6%) | 10.4% (33.3%) | $7.09 (48.9%) |
| 2018 | $7.0b (8.8%) | $738.0m (10.4%) | $628.7m (22.5%) | 10.5% (1.4%) | $7.82 (10.3%) |
| 2019 | $7.0b (-0.7%) | $696.4m (-5.6%) | $807.9m (28.5%) | 10.0% (-5.0%) | $7.36 (-5.9%) |
| 2020 | $6.7b (-4.4%) | $461.0m (-33.8%) | $611.6m (-24.3%) | 6.9% (-30.8%) | $4.86 (-34.0%) |
| 2021 | $7.7b (16.1%) | $841.1m (82.5%) | $489.0m (-20.0%) | 10.9% (57.1%) | $8.87 (82.5%) |
| 2022 | $8.5b (9.7%) | $1.0b (22.4%) | $670.8m (37.2%) | 12.1% (11.6%) | $11.08 (24.9%) |
| 2023 | $7.8b (-8.0%) | $765.2m (-25.7%) | $845.4m (26.0%) | 9.8% (-19.3%) | $8.52 (-23.1%) |
| 2024 | $8.4b (7.4%) | $805.1m (5.2%) | $521.5m (-38.3%) | 9.6% (-2.1%) | $8.97 (5.3%) |
| 2025 | $9.0b (7.2%) | $774.1m (-3.9%) | $728.6m (39.7%) | 8.6% (-10.3%) | $8.61 (-4.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.