Discounted Cash Flow

Park Ohio Holdings Corp.

PKOH · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.3b $31.7m $44.4m 2.5% $2.62
2017 $1.4b (10.7%) $28.6m (-9.8%) $18.8m (-57.7%) 2.0% (-18.5%) $2.34 (-10.7%)
2018 $1.7b (17.4%) $53.6m (87.4%) $9.7m (-48.4%) 3.2% (59.7%) $4.37 (86.8%)
2019 $1.6b (-2.4%) $38.6m (-28.0%) $23.6m (143.3%) 2.4% (-26.2%) $3.16 (-27.7%)
2020 $1.3b (-20.0%) $-4.5m (-111.7%) $43.0m (82.2%) -0.3% (-114.6%) $-0.37 (-111.7%)
2021 $1.4b (11.0%) $-24.8m (-451.1%) $-74.4m (-273.0%) -1.7% (-396.4%) $-2.07 (-459.5%)
2022 $1.5b (3.8%) $-14.2m (42.7%) $-53.5m (28.1%) -1.0% (44.8%) $-1.17 (43.5%)
2023 $1.7b (11.2%) $7.8m (154.9%) $25.2m (147.1%) 0.5% (149.4%) $0.63 (153.8%)
2024 $1.7b (-0.2%) $31.8m (307.7%) $3.6m (-85.7%) 1.9% (308.6%) $2.46 (290.5%)
2025 $1.6b (-3.4%) $23.8m (-25.2%) $2.0m (-44.4%) 1.5% (-22.5%) $1.73 (-29.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model