Discounted Cash Flow
Douglas Dynamics, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $416.3m | $38.5m | $60.1m | 9.2% | $1.71 |
| 2017 | $474.9m (14.1%) | $55.3m (43.8%) | $58.8m (-2.2%) | 11.6% (26.1%) | $2.42 (41.5%) |
| 2018 | $524.1m (10.3%) | $43.9m (-20.6%) | $48.5m (-17.5%) | 8.4% (-28.1%) | $1.91 (-21.1%) |
| 2019 | $571.7m (9.1%) | $49.2m (12.0%) | $65.8m (35.6%) | 8.6% (2.7%) | $2.13 (11.5%) |
| 2020 | $480.2m (-16.0%) | $-86.6m (-276.0%) | $38.9m (-40.9%) | -18.0% (-309.6%) | $-3.81 (-278.9%) |
| 2021 | $541.5m (12.8%) | $30.7m (135.5%) | $49.3m (26.9%) | 5.7% (131.4%) | $1.31 (134.4%) |
| 2022 | $616.1m (13.8%) | $38.6m (25.8%) | $27.6m (-44.0%) | 6.3% (10.6%) | $1.65 (26.0%) |
| 2023 | $568.2m (-7.8%) | $23.7m (-38.6%) | $2.7m (-90.2%) | 4.2% (-33.4%) | $1.01 (-38.8%) |
| 2024 | $568.5m (0.1%) | $56.2m (136.7%) | $33.4m (1134.4%) | 9.9% (136.6%) | $2.39 (136.6%) |
| 2025 | $656.1m (15.4%) | $46.9m (-16.5%) | $63.9m (91.4%) | 7.1% (-27.6%) | $1.99 (-16.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.