Discounted Cash Flow
Pennant Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $251.0m | $9.9m | $14.1m | 3.9% | $0.36 |
| 2018 | $286.1m (14.0%) | $15.7m (59.0%) | $19.7m (39.3%) | 5.5% (39.5%) | $0.58 (62.4%) |
| 2019 | $338.5m (18.3%) | $2.5m (-83.8%) | $2.8m (-85.6%) | 0.8% (-86.3%) | $0.11 (-80.5%) |
| 2020 | $391.0m (15.5%) | $15.7m (518.4%) | $43.0m (1412.4%) | 4.0% (435.5%) | $0.55 (386.5%) |
| 2021 | $439.7m (12.5%) | $2.7m (-82.9%) | $-24.5m (-157.1%) | 0.6% (-84.8%) | $0.08 (-86.4%) |
| 2022 | $473.2m (7.6%) | $6.6m (146.4%) | $-5.1m (79.1%) | 1.4% (128.9%) | $0.25 (229.6%) |
| 2023 | $544.9m (15.1%) | $13.4m (101.4%) | $25.0m (587.4%) | 2.5% (74.9%) | $0.47 (86.9%) |
| 2024 | $695.2m (27.6%) | $22.6m (68.6%) | $30.3m (21.3%) | 3.2% (32.2%) | $0.78 (67.5%) |
| 2025 | $947.7m (36.3%) | $29.6m (31.1%) | $36.3m (19.6%) | 3.1% (-3.8%) | $0.98 (25.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.