Discounted Cash Flow

Insulet Corp.

PODD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $367.0m $-28.9m $-6.2m -7.9% $-0.48
2017 $463.8m (26.4%) $-26.8m (7.1%) $-36.0m (-480.6%) -5.8% (26.5%) $-0.46 (4.2%)
2018 $563.8m (21.6%) $3.3m (112.3%) $-126.5m (-251.1%) 0.6% (110.1%) $0.06 (113.0%)
2019 $738.2m (30.9%) $11.6m (252.4%) $-65.3m (48.4%) 1.6% (169.1%) $0.19 (216.7%)
2020 $904.4m (22.5%) $6.8m (-41.4%) $-45.0m (31.1%) 0.8% (-52.2%) $0.11 (-42.1%)
2021 $1.1b (21.5%) $16.8m (147.1%) $16.8m (137.3%) 1.5% (103.3%) $0.25 (127.3%)
2022 $1.1b (-3.9%) $4.6m (-72.6%) $-3.9m (-123.2%) 0.4% (-71.5%) $0.07 (-72.0%)
2023 $1.7b (60.8%) $206.3m (4384.8%) $70.1m (1897.4%) 12.2% (2689.0%) $2.96 (4128.6%)
2024 $2.1b (22.1%) $418.3m (102.8%) $305.4m (335.7%) 20.2% (66.1%) $5.97 (101.7%)
2025 $2.7b (30.7%) $247.1m (-40.9%) $377.7m (23.7%) 9.1% (-54.8%) $3.51 (-41.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model