Discounted Cash Flow
Post Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.0b | $-3.3m | $502.4m | -0.1% | $-0.41 |
| 2017 | $5.2b (4.0%) | $48.3m (1563.6%) | $386.7m (-23.0%) | 0.9% (1507.9%) | $0.51 (224.4%) |
| 2018 | $6.3b (19.7%) | $467.3m (867.5%) | $719.3m (86.0%) | 7.5% (708.0%) | $6.87 (1247.1%) |
| 2019 | $5.7b (-9.2%) | $124.7m (-73.3%) | $688.0m (-4.4%) | 2.2% (-70.6%) | $1.72 (-75.0%) |
| 2020 | $5.7b (0.3%) | $800.0k (-99.4%) | $625.6m (-9.1%) | 0.0% (-99.4%) | $0.01 (-99.4%) |
| 2021 | $6.2b (9.3%) | $166.7m (20737.5%) | $588.2m (-6.0%) | 2.7% (18970.6%) | $2.42 (24100.0%) |
| 2022 | $5.9b (-6.0%) | $756.6m (353.9%) | $128.9m (-78.1%) | 12.9% (383.0%) | $12.42 (413.2%) |
| 2023 | $7.0b (19.5%) | $301.3m (-60.2%) | $447.3m (247.0%) | 4.3% (-66.7%) | $5.21 (-58.1%) |
| 2024 | $7.9b (13.3%) | $366.7m (21.7%) | $502.2m (12.3%) | 4.6% (7.4%) | $6.12 (17.5%) |
| 2025 | $8.2b (3.0%) | $335.7m (-8.5%) | $488.1m (-2.8%) | 4.1% (-11.1%) | $5.98 (-2.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.