Discounted Cash Flow

Powell Industries Inc.

POWL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $565.2m $15.5m $71.9m 2.7% $1.36
2017 $395.9m (-30.0%) $-9.5m (-161.2%) $33.2m (-53.8%) -2.4% (-187.3%) $-0.83 (-161.0%)
2018 $448.7m (13.3%) $-7.2m (24.6%) $-33.0m (-199.6%) -1.6% (33.5%) $-0.62 (25.3%)
2019 $517.2m (15.3%) $9.9m (238.3%) $64.5m (295.2%) 1.9% (220.0%) $0.85 (237.1%)
2020 $518.5m (0.3%) $16.7m (68.5%) $67.3m (4.3%) 3.2% (68.0%) $1.43 (68.2%)
2021 $470.6m (-9.2%) $631.0k (-96.2%) $-33.4m (-149.6%) 0.1% (-95.8%) $0.05 (-96.5%)
2022 $532.6m (13.2%) $13.7m (2077.0%) $-6.0m (81.9%) 2.6% (1823.5%) $1.16 (2220.0%)
2023 $699.3m (31.3%) $54.5m (296.9%) $174.7m (2996.3%) 7.8% (202.3%) $4.59 (295.7%)
2024 $1.0b (44.8%) $149.8m (174.8%) $96.7m (-44.7%) 14.8% (89.8%) $12.51 (172.5%)
2025 $1.1b (9.1%) $180.7m (20.6%) $154.8m (60.1%) 16.4% (10.6%) $14.98 (19.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model