Discounted Cash Flow

Permian Resources Corp.

PR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2015 $90.5m $-38.3m $55.8m -42.4%
2017 $429.9m (375.2%) $75.6m (297.2%) $133.4m (139.3%) 17.6% (141.5%) $0.32
2018 $891.0m (107.3%) $199.9m (164.5%) $550.5m (312.6%) 22.4% (27.6%) $0.76 (137.5%)
2019 $944.3m (6.0%) $15.8m (-92.1%) $15.8m (-97.1%) 1.7% (-92.5%) $0.06 (-92.1%)
2020 $580.5m (-38.5%) $-682.8m (-4422.3%) $148.0m (836.6%) -117.6% (-7131.8%) $-2.46 (-4200.0%)
2021 $1.0b (77.4%) $138.2m (120.2%) $496.5m (235.5%) 13.4% (111.4%) $0.49 (119.9%)
2022 $2.1b (106.9%) $515.0m (272.7%) $1.2b (142.8%) 24.2% (80.1%) $1.80 (267.3%)
2023 $3.1b (46.4%) $476.3m (-7.5%) $1.9b (56.6%) 15.3% (-36.8%) $1.36 (-24.4%)
2024 $5.0b (60.2%) $984.7m (106.7%) $3.1b (65.2%) 19.7% (29.0%) $1.54 (13.2%)
2025 $5.1b (1.3%) $935.2m (-5.0%) $3.4b (7.7%) 18.5% (-6.2%) $1.31 (-14.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model