Discounted Cash Flow

Parsons Corp.

PSN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2018 $3.6b $222.3m $255.4m 6.2%
2019 $4.0b (11.1%) $120.5m (-45.8%) $152.6m (-40.2%) 3.0% (-51.2%)
2020 $3.9b (-0.9%) $98.5m (-18.2%) $255.1m (67.1%) 2.5% (-17.5%)
2021 $3.7b (-6.6%) $64.1m (-35.0%) $184.5m (-27.7%) 1.8% (-30.4%)
2022 $4.2b (14.6%) $96.7m (50.9%) $206.9m (12.2%) 2.3% (31.6%)
2023 $5.4b (29.7%) $161.1m (66.7%) $367.3m (77.5%) 3.0% (28.5%)
2024 $6.8b (24.0%) $235.1m (45.9%) $474.4m (29.2%) 3.5% (17.6%)
2025 $6.4b (-5.7%) $241.1m (2.6%) $410.4m (-13.5%) 3.8% (8.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model