Discounted Cash Flow
Phillips 66
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $85.8b | $1.6b | $119.0m | 1.8% | $2.94 |
| 2017 | $104.6b (22.0%) | $5.1b (228.4%) | $1.8b (1426.1%) | 4.9% (169.2%) | $9.90 (236.7%) |
| 2018 | $114.2b (9.2%) | $5.6b (9.6%) | $4.9b (171.7%) | 4.9% (0.4%) | $11.87 (19.9%) |
| 2019 | $109.6b (-4.1%) | $3.1b (-45.0%) | $935.0m (-81.0%) | 2.8% (-42.7%) | $6.80 (-42.7%) |
| 2020 | $65.5b (-40.2%) | $-4.0b (-229.2%) | $-809.0m (-186.5%) | -6.1% (-316.2%) | $-9.06 (-233.2%) |
| 2021 | $114.9b (75.4%) | $1.3b (133.1%) | $4.2b (613.8%) | 1.1% (118.9%) | $2.97 (132.8%) |
| 2022 | $175.7b (53.0%) | $11.0b (737.1%) | $8.9b (114.7%) | 6.3% (447.2%) | $23.36 (686.5%) |
| 2023 | $149.9b (-14.7%) | $7.0b (-36.4%) | $4.9b (-45.4%) | 4.7% (-25.4%) | $15.56 (-33.4%) |
| 2024 | $145.5b (-2.9%) | $2.1b (-69.8%) | $2.3b (-52.2%) | 1.5% (-68.9%) | $5.01 (-67.8%) |
| 2025 | $136.6b (-6.1%) | $4.4b (108.0%) | $2.7b (17.0%) | 3.2% (121.6%) | $10.82 (116.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.