Discounted Cash Flow
Papa Johns International Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $102.8m | $88.5m | 6.0% | $2.76 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (4.1%) | $102.3m (-0.5%) | $82.4m (-6.9%) | 5.7% (-4.4%) | $2.86 (3.6%) |
| 2018 | $1.6b (-11.8%) | $1.6m (-98.4%) | $30.8m (-62.7%) | 0.1% (-98.2%) | $0.05 (-98.3%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (2.9%) | $4.9m (195.6%) | $24.0m (-21.9%) | 0.3% (187.2%) | $-0.24 (-580.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (12.0%) | $57.9m (1090.5%) | $150.8m (527.3%) | 3.2% (963.2%) | $1.29 (637.5%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (14.1%) | $120.0m (107.2%) | $116.1m (-23.0%) | 5.8% (81.6%) | $0.12 (-90.7%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (1.6%) | $67.8m (-43.5%) | $39.4m (-66.1%) | 3.2% (-44.4%) | $1.90 (1483.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (1.6%) | $82.1m (21.1%) | $116.4m (195.4%) | 3.8% (19.2%) | $2.49 (31.1%) |
| 2024 | $2.1b (-3.6%) | $83.5m (1.7%) | $34.1m (-70.7%) | 4.1% (5.5%) | $2.55 (2.4%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (-0.3%) | $30.5m (-63.4%) | $61.3m (79.5%) | 1.5% (-63.3%) | $0.90 (-64.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.