Discounted Cash Flow
Ryder System Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.8b | $262.5m | $1.6b | 3.9% | $4.94 |
| 2017 | $7.3b (8.0%) | $790.6m (201.2%) | $1.5b (-3.3%) | 10.8% (178.9%) | $14.97 (203.0%) |
| 2018 | $8.4b (14.7%) | $273.3m (-65.4%) | $1.6b (5.6%) | 3.2% (-69.9%) | $5.20 (-65.3%) |
| 2019 | $8.9b (6.1%) | $-24.4m (-108.9%) | $2.1b (30.9%) | -0.3% (-108.4%) | $-0.47 (-109.0%) |
| 2020 | $8.4b (-5.7%) | $-122.2m (-400.8%) | $-122.2m (-105.7%) | -1.5% (-430.9%) | $-2.34 (-397.9%) |
| 2021 | $9.7b (14.8%) | $519.0m (524.6%) | $2.2b (1879.4%) | 5.4% (470.0%) | $9.87 (521.8%) |
| 2022 | $12.0b (24.3%) | $867.0m (67.0%) | $-321.0m (-114.8%) | 7.2% (34.4%) | $17.41 (76.4%) |
| 2023 | $11.8b (-1.9%) | $406.0m (-53.2%) | $-881.0m (-174.5%) | 3.4% (-52.3%) | $8.89 (-48.9%) |
| 2024 | $12.6b (7.2%) | $489.0m (20.4%) | $-418.0m (52.6%) | 3.9% (12.3%) | $11.29 (27.0%) |
| 2025 | $12.7b (0.2%) | $499.0m (2.0%) | $459.0m (209.8%) | 3.9% (1.8%) | $12.15 (7.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.