Discounted Cash Flow

RBC Bearings Inc.

RBC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $615.4m $70.6m $80.3m 11.5% $3.00
2018 $674.9m (9.7%) $87.1m (23.4%) $102.3m (27.3%) 12.9% (12.5%) $3.64 (21.3%)
2019 $702.5m (4.1%) $105.2m (20.7%) $67.2m (-34.3%) 15.0% (16.0%) $4.32 (18.7%)
2020 $727.5m (3.6%) $126.0m (19.8%) $118.3m (76.1%) 17.3% (15.7%) $5.12 (18.5%)
2021 $609.0m (-16.3%) $89.6m (-28.9%) $140.7m (18.9%) 14.7% (-15.0%) $3.61 (-29.5%)
2022 $942.9m (54.8%) $53.1m (-40.8%) $150.5m (7.0%) 5.6% (-61.8%) $1.97 (-45.4%)
2023 $1.5b (55.8%) $166.7m (214.2%) $178.6m (18.6%) 11.3% (101.6%) $5.00 (153.8%)
2024 $1.6b (6.2%) $209.9m (25.9%) $241.5m (35.2%) 13.5% (18.6%) $6.47 (29.4%)
2025 $1.6b (4.9%) $246.2m (17.3%) $243.8m (1.0%) 15.0% (11.8%) $7.76 (19.9%)
2026 $1.9b (14.3%) $287.6m (16.8%) $342.6m (40.5%) 15.4% (2.2%) $9.14 (17.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model