Discounted Cash Flow
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.7m | $-4.2m | $-1.1m | -89.9% | $-0.69 |
| 2017 | $5.3m (12.6%) | $-574.0k (86.3%) | $137.0k (112.9%) | -10.9% (87.9%) | $-0.06 (91.3%) |
| 2018 | $5.9m (11.6%) | $1.6m (373.3%) | $1.3m (856.2%) | 26.7% (345.0%) | — |
| 2019 | $4.9m (-16.4%) | $-436.0k (-127.8%) | $224.0k (-82.9%) | -8.9% (-133.2%) | $-0.49 |
| 2020 | $3.0m (-38.1%) | $-3.6m (-736.7%) | $-1.6m (-794.2%) | -120.1% (-1252.5%) | $-4.10 (-736.7%) |
| 2021 | $151.0m (4871.6%) | $-65.7m (-1700.1%) | $84.4m (5525.0%) | -43.5% (63.8%) | $-4.19 (-2.2%) |
| 2022 | $321.7m (113.0%) | $118.0m (279.7%) | $169.0m (100.4%) | 36.7% (184.4%) | $6.04 (244.2%) |
| 2023 | $375.0m (16.6%) | $111.6m (-5.4%) | $206.1m (21.9%) | 29.8% (-18.9%) | $5.66 (-6.3%) |
| 2024 | $410.2m (9.4%) | $88.9m (-20.3%) | $245.4m (19.1%) | 21.7% (-27.2%) | $4.29 (-24.2%) |
| 2025 | $392.0m (-4.4%) | $160.8m (80.9%) | $211.0m (-14.0%) | 41.0% (89.3%) | $7.61 (77.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.