Discounted Cash Flow
Sturm Ruger & Co. Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $664.3m | $87.5m | $69.6m | 13.2% | $4.62 |
| 2017 | $522.3m (-21.4%) | $52.1m (-40.4%) | $67.6m (-2.9%) | 10.0% (-24.2%) | $2.94 (-36.4%) |
| 2018 | $495.6m (-5.1%) | $50.9m (-2.3%) | $109.3m (61.7%) | 10.3% (2.9%) | $2.92 (-0.7%) |
| 2019 | $410.5m (-17.2%) | $32.3m (-36.6%) | $29.3m (-73.2%) | 7.9% (-23.5%) | $1.85 (-36.6%) |
| 2020 | $568.9m (38.6%) | $90.4m (179.9%) | $119.6m (308.2%) | 15.9% (102.0%) | $5.17 (179.5%) |
| 2021 | $730.7m (28.5%) | $155.9m (72.5%) | $143.6m (20.1%) | 21.3% (34.3%) | $8.87 (71.6%) |
| 2022 | $595.8m (-18.5%) | $88.3m (-43.3%) | $49.5m (-65.5%) | 14.8% (-30.5%) | $5.00 (-43.6%) |
| 2023 | $543.8m (-8.7%) | $48.2m (-45.4%) | $18.1m (-63.4%) | 8.9% (-40.2%) | $2.73 (-45.4%) |
| 2024 | $535.6m (-1.5%) | $30.6m (-36.6%) | $34.7m (91.6%) | 5.7% (-35.6%) | $1.79 (-34.4%) |
| 2025 | $546.1m (1.9%) | $-4.4m (-114.4%) | $38.5m (10.9%) | -0.8% (-114.1%) | $-0.27 (-115.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.