Discounted Cash Flow

Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. REIT

RHP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $159.4m $293.6m 13.9% $3.12
2017 $1.2b (3.1%) $176.1m (10.5%) $295.8m (0.8%) 14.9% (7.2%) $3.44 (10.3%)
2018 $1.3b (7.6%) $264.7m (50.3%) $321.9m (8.8%) 20.8% (39.6%) $5.16 (50.0%)
2019 $1.6b (25.8%) $145.8m (-44.9%) $354.7m (10.2%) 9.1% (-56.2%) $2.82 (-45.3%)
2020 $524.5m (-67.3%) $-417.4m (-386.3%) $-161.5m (-145.5%) -79.6% (-975.9%) $-7.59 (-369.1%)
2021 $939.4m (79.1%) $-194.8m (53.3%) $111.3m (168.9%) -20.7% (73.9%) $-3.21 (57.7%)
2022 $1.8b (92.3%) $129.0m (166.2%) $330.4m (197.0%) 7.1% (134.4%) $2.34 (172.9%)
2023 $2.2b (19.5%) $311.2m (141.3%) $350.3m (6.0%) 14.4% (101.9%) $5.39 (130.3%)
2024 $2.3b (8.4%) $271.6m (-12.7%) $168.6m (-51.9%) 11.6% (-19.5%) $4.54 (-15.8%)
2025 $2.6b (10.2%) $243.4m (-10.4%) $232.4m (37.8%) 9.4% (-18.7%) $3.94 (-13.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model