Discounted Cash Flow
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $587.8m | $14.9m | $14.9m | 2.5% | $1.56 |
| 2017 | $643.6m (9.5%) | $32.8m (120.0%) | $-9.8m (-165.5%) | 5.1% (101.0%) | $3.01 (92.9%) |
| 2018 | $681.6m (5.9%) | $33.3m (1.3%) | $950.0k (109.7%) | 4.9% (-4.3%) | $2.46 (-18.3%) |
| 2019 | $723.4m (6.1%) | $47.6m (43.1%) | $26.3m (2671.2%) | 6.6% (34.8%) | $1.37 (-44.3%) |
| 2020 | $545.1m (-24.6%) | $27.5m (-42.3%) | $17.5m (-33.5%) | 5.0% (-23.4%) | $0.78 (-43.1%) |
| 2021 | $503.6m (-7.6%) | $16.6m (-39.6%) | $30.5m (74.0%) | 3.3% (-34.6%) | $0.46 (-41.0%) |
| 2022 | $531.0m (5.4%) | $-182.7m (-1201.3%) | $-4.6m (-114.9%) | -34.4% (-1144.4%) | $-5.06 (-1200.0%) |
| 2023 | $498.1m (-6.2%) | $-120.1m (34.2%) | $-27.2m (-496.8%) | -24.1% (29.9%) | $-3.04 (39.9%) |
| 2024 | $476.4m (-4.3%) | $-91.0m (24.2%) | $-15.7m (42.1%) | -19.1% (20.8%) | $-2.21 (27.3%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (182.6%) | $76.2m (183.7%) | $-74.9m (-376.2%) | 5.7% (129.6%) | $1.90 (186.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.