Discounted Cash Flow
RLI Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $816.3m | $114.9m | $158.3m | 14.1% | $2.63 |
| 2017 | $797.2m (-2.3%) | $105.0m (-8.6%) | $188.3m (18.9%) | 13.2% (-6.4%) | $2.39 (-9.1%) |
| 2018 | $818.1m (2.6%) | $64.2m (-38.9%) | $211.0m (12.1%) | 7.8% (-40.5%) | $1.45 (-39.3%) |
| 2019 | $1.0b (22.7%) | $191.6m (198.6%) | $270.0m (27.9%) | 19.1% (143.4%) | $4.28 (195.2%) |
| 2020 | $983.6m (-2.0%) | $157.1m (-18.0%) | $257.5m (-4.6%) | 16.0% (-16.4%) | $3.49 (-18.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (19.9%) | $279.4m (77.8%) | $376.6m (46.3%) | 23.7% (48.3%) | $6.18 (77.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (44.0%) | $583.4m (108.8%) | $244.6m (-35.1%) | 34.4% (45.0%) | $12.86 (108.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (-11.0%) | $304.6m (-47.8%) | $458.3m (87.4%) | 20.1% (-41.4%) | $6.68 (-48.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (17.1%) | $345.8m (13.5%) | $555.5m (21.2%) | 19.5% (-3.1%) | $3.78 (-43.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.9b (6.3%) | $403.3m (16.6%) | $608.7m (9.6%) | 21.4% (9.7%) | $4.39 (16.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.