Discounted Cash Flow
RLJ Lodging Trust REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $201.3m | $331.1m | 17.4% | $1.61 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (16.9%) | $74.8m (-62.8%) | $260.4m (-21.4%) | 5.5% (-68.2%) | $0.47 (-70.8%) |
| 2018 | $1.8b (29.9%) | $188.6m (152.1%) | $394.6m (51.5%) | 10.7% (94.1%) | $0.93 (97.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (-11.1%) | $127.8m (-32.2%) | $397.3m (0.7%) | 8.2% (-23.8%) | $0.59 (-36.6%) |
| 2020 | $473.1m (-69.8%) | $-404.4m (-416.4%) | $-168.7m (-142.5%) | -85.5% (-1147.3%) | $-2.61 (-542.4%) |
| 2021 | $785.7m (66.1%) | $-305.2m (24.5%) | $43.0m (125.5%) | -38.8% (54.6%) | $-2.01 (23.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (51.9%) | $41.9m (113.7%) | $256.5m (497.1%) | 3.5% (109.0%) | $0.10 (105.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (11.1%) | $76.4m (82.2%) | $315.1m (22.9%) | 5.8% (64.1%) | $0.32 (220.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.4b (3.3%) | $68.0m (-11.0%) | $285.4m (-9.4%) | 5.0% (-13.8%) | $0.27 (-15.6%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (-1.4%) | $28.5m (-58.1%) | $243.8m (-14.6%) | 2.1% (-57.5%) | $0.01 (-96.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.