Discounted Cash Flow
RLX Technology Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $42.7m | $-6.1m | $-69.1k | -14.2% | $-7.23 |
| 2017 | $60.1m (40.5%) | $-4.7m (23.1%) | $-1.2m (-1618.2%) | -7.7% (45.3%) | $-4.90 (32.2%) |
| 2018 | $132.6m (120.8%) | $-6.5m (-40.2%) | $-148.9k (87.5%) | -4.9% (36.5%) | $-0.00 (100.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.5b (1068.3%) | $-3.8m (42.5%) | $37.5m (25265.0%) | -0.2% (95.1%) | $0.03 (16600.0%) |
| 2020 | $585.4m (-62.2%) | $-2.8m (24.1%) | $-2.8m (-107.6%) | -0.5% (-100.9%) | $-0.01 (-142.4%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (128.4%) | $-3.4m (-18.6%) | $-3.4m (-18.6%) | -0.3% (48.1%) | $0.23 (1721.4%) |
| 2022 | $773.2m (-42.2%) | $14.1m (518.6%) | $71.2m (2207.6%) | 1.8% (824.0%) | $0.16 (-30.4%) |
| 2023 | $223.4m (-71.1%) | $-8.8m (-161.9%) | $28.8m (-59.5%) | -3.9% (-314.2%) | $0.06 (-63.9%) |
| 2024 | $376.6m (68.5%) | $-7.4m (15.7%) | $-7.4m (-125.6%) | -2.0% (50.0%) | $0.06 (7.0%) |
| 2025 | $566.1m (50.3%) | $-6.3m (14.6%) | $-6.3m (14.6%) | -1.1% (43.2%) | $0.10 (63.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.