Discounted Cash Flow

Rollins Inc.

ROL · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.6b $167.4m $193.4m 10.6% $0.77
2017 $1.7b (6.4%) $179.1m (7.0%) $210.7m (8.9%) 10.7% (0.6%) $0.82 (6.5%)
2018 $1.8b (8.8%) $231.7m (29.3%) $259.1m (23.0%) 12.7% (18.9%) $0.71 (-13.4%)
2019 $2.0b (10.6%) $203.3m (-12.2%) $282.0m (8.9%) 10.1% (-20.7%) $0.62 (-12.7%)
2020 $2.2b (7.2%) $260.8m (28.3%) $412.6m (46.3%) 12.1% (19.6%) $0.53 (-14.5%)
2021 $2.4b (12.2%) $350.7m (34.5%) $374.6m (-9.2%) 14.5% (19.9%) $0.71 (34.0%)
2022 $2.7b (11.2%) $368.6m (5.1%) $435.3m (16.2%) 13.7% (-5.5%) $0.75 (5.6%)
2023 $3.1b (14.0%) $435.0m (18.0%) $495.9m (13.9%) 14.2% (3.5%) $0.89 (18.7%)
2024 $3.4b (10.3%) $466.4m (7.2%) $580.1m (17.0%) 13.8% (-2.8%) $0.96 (7.9%)
2025 $3.8b (11.0%) $526.7m (12.9%) $650.0m (12.1%) 14.0% (1.8%) $1.09 (13.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model