Discounted Cash Flow

Ross Stores, Inc.

ROST · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.0b $959.3m $2.53
2017 $1.1b (9.5%) $1.3b (31.4%) $2.85 (12.6%)
2018 $1.4b (21.9%) $1.3b (3.9%) $3.58 (25.6%)
2019 $1.6b (16.5%) $1.7b (26.2%) $4.30 (20.1%)
2020 $1.7b (4.6%) $1.6b (-2.2%) $4.63 (7.7%)
2021 $85.4m (-94.9%) $1.8b (13.9%) $0.24 (-94.8%)
2022 $1.7b (1917.5%) $1.2b (-35.8%) $4.90 (1941.7%)
2023 $1.5b (-12.2%) $1.0b (-12.3%) $4.40 (-10.2%)
2024 $1.9b (24.0%) $1.8b (69.2%) $5.59 (27.0%)
2025 $2.1b (11.5%) $1.6b (-6.6%) $6.36 (13.8%)
2026 $2.1b (2.6%) $2.2b (34.9%) $6.66 (4.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model