Discounted Cash Flow
RED Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $11.7m | $99.0m | 0.9% | $0.88 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (6.5%) | $30.0m (156.0%) | $156.6m (58.3%) | 2.2% (140.4%) | $2.33 (164.8%) |
| 2018 | $1.3b (-3.1%) | $-6.4m (-121.4%) | $126.3m (-19.4%) | -0.5% (-122.1%) | $-0.49 (-121.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (-1.8%) | $-7.9m (-23.1%) | $57.9m (-54.1%) | -0.6% (-25.3%) | $-0.61 (-24.5%) |
| 2020 | $868.7m (-33.9%) | $-276.1m (-3393.2%) | $20.2m (-65.1%) | -31.8% (-5187.8%) | $-19.29 (-3062.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.2b (33.8%) | $-50.0m (81.9%) | $47.3m (133.7%) | -4.3% (86.5%) | $-3.19 (83.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.3b (9.0%) | $-77.8m (-55.6%) | $-2.6m (-105.6%) | -6.1% (-42.8%) | $-4.91 (-53.9%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (2.9%) | $-21.2m (72.7%) | $-50.6m (-1826.0%) | -1.6% (73.5%) | $-1.34 (72.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.2b (-4.2%) | $-77.5m (-265.3%) | $-19.0m (62.5%) | -6.2% (-281.2%) | $-4.93 (-267.9%) |
| 2025 | $1.2b (-3.1%) | $-23.3m (70.0%) | $6.2m (132.8%) | -1.9% (69.0%) | $-1.31 (73.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.