Discounted Cash Flow
Sunrun Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $453.9m | $91.7m | $-163.1m | 20.2% | $0.90 |
| 2017 | $529.7m (16.7%) | $124.5m (35.8%) | $-69.0m (57.7%) | 23.5% (16.4%) | $1.18 (31.1%) |
| 2018 | $760.0m (43.5%) | $26.7m (-78.6%) | $-67.4m (2.3%) | 3.5% (-85.1%) | $0.24 (-79.7%) |
| 2019 | $858.6m (13.0%) | $26.3m (-1.2%) | $-229.8m (-240.9%) | 3.1% (-12.6%) | $0.23 (-4.2%) |
| 2020 | $922.2m (7.4%) | $-173.4m (-758.4%) | $-321.1m (-39.7%) | -18.8% (-713.0%) | $-1.24 (-639.1%) |
| 2021 | $1.6b (74.6%) | $-79.4m (54.2%) | $-79.4m (75.3%) | -4.9% (73.8%) | $-0.39 (68.5%) |
| 2022 | $2.3b (44.2%) | $173.4m (318.3%) | $-867.0m (-991.6%) | 7.5% (251.4%) | $0.82 (310.3%) |
| 2023 | $2.3b (-2.7%) | $-1.6b (-1025.4%) | $-841.7m (2.9%) | -71.0% (-1050.7%) | $-7.41 (-1003.7%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (-9.8%) | $-2.8b (-77.4%) | $-767.7m (8.8%) | -139.7% (-96.7%) | $-12.81 (-72.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.0b (45.1%) | $449.9m (115.8%) | $-423.2m (44.9%) | 15.2% (110.9%) | $1.96 (115.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.