Discounted Cash Flow

Ryanair Holdings Plc. ADR

RYAAY · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $6.6b $1.6b $477.4m 24.4%
2018 $7.2b (7.6%) $1.6b (-0.8%) $762.6m (59.7%) 22.5% (-7.8%) $1.22
2019 $7.7b (7.6%) $948.1m (-41.2%) $470.8m (-38.3%) 12.3% (-45.3%) $0.77 (-36.3%)
2020 $8.5b (10.4%) $670.3m (-29.3%) $748.3m (58.9%) 7.9% (-35.9%) $0.58 (-24.7%)
2021 $1.6b (-80.7%) $-1.1b (-265.4%) $-2.7b (-466.5%) -67.8% (-958.9%) $-0.91 (-257.0%)
2022 $4.8b (193.5%) $-429.8m (61.2%) $758.9m (127.7%) -9.0% (86.8%) $-0.21 (76.7%)
2023 $10.8b (124.4%) $1.4b (435.6%) $2.0b (160.4%) 13.4% (249.5%) $1.16 (642.6%)
2024 $13.4b (24.8%) $2.1b (47.5%) $766.0m (-61.2%) 15.8% (18.2%) $1.68 (45.6%)
2025 $13.9b (3.8%) $1.8b (-16.1%) $1.9b (153.0%) 12.8% (-19.2%) $1.46 (-13.1%)
2026 $15.5b (11.4%) $2.7b (49.8%) $1.8b (-7.0%) 17.2% (34.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model