Discounted Cash Flow
Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $765.1m | $-1.1m | $141.5m | -0.1% | — |
| 2020 | $1.0b (33.1%) | $2.4m (317.2%) | $122.9m (-13.2%) | 0.2% (263.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.4b (40.7%) | $-9.2m (-483.6%) | $263.7m (114.6%) | -0.6% (-372.6%) | $0.54 |
| 2022 | $1.7b (20.4%) | $102.2m (1206.0%) | $320.5m (21.5%) | 5.9% (1018.5%) | $1.50 (180.6%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (20.4%) | $133.4m (30.6%) | $447.4m (39.6%) | 6.4% (8.4%) | $1.70 (13.1%) |
| 2024 | $2.5b (21.1%) | $135.2m (1.4%) | $467.9m (4.6%) | 5.4% (-16.3%) | $1.90 (11.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.1b (21.3%) | $150.8m (11.5%) | $575.7m (23.1%) | 4.9% (-8.1%) | $1.68 (-11.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.