Discounted Cash Flow
Sonic Automotive Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $9.7b | $93.2m | $10.1m | 1.0% | $2.04 |
| 2017 | $9.9b (1.4%) | $93.0m (-0.2%) | $-71.4m (-804.0%) | 0.9% (-1.6%) | $2.11 (3.4%) |
| 2018 | $10.0b (0.9%) | $51.6m (-44.5%) | $-19.9m (72.1%) | 0.5% (-44.9%) | $1.21 (-42.7%) |
| 2019 | $10.5b (5.1%) | $144.1m (179.1%) | $45.3m (327.3%) | 1.4% (165.6%) | $3.35 (176.9%) |
| 2020 | $9.8b (-6.6%) | $-51.4m (-135.7%) | $153.9m (239.4%) | -0.5% (-138.2%) | $-1.21 (-136.1%) |
| 2021 | $12.4b (26.9%) | $348.9m (779.0%) | $8.1m (-94.7%) | 2.8% (635.0%) | $8.43 (796.7%) |
| 2022 | $14.0b (12.9%) | $88.5m (-74.6%) | $179.0m (2109.9%) | 0.6% (-77.5%) | $2.29 (-72.8%) |
| 2023 | $14.4b (2.7%) | $178.2m (101.4%) | $-219.3m (-222.5%) | 1.2% (96.2%) | $5.09 (122.3%) |
| 2024 | $14.2b (-1.0%) | $216.0m (21.2%) | $-78.1m (64.4%) | 1.5% (22.5%) | $6.34 (24.6%) |
| 2025 | $15.2b (6.5%) | $118.7m (-45.0%) | $417.5m (634.6%) | 0.8% (-48.4%) | $3.49 (-45.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.