Discounted Cash Flow
Saia Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $48.0m | $26.4m | 3.9% | $1.92 |
| 2017 | $1.4b (13.1%) | $91.2m (89.8%) | $-28.9m (-209.2%) | 6.6% (67.8%) | $3.57 (85.9%) |
| 2018 | $1.7b (20.0%) | $105.0m (15.2%) | $32.8m (213.6%) | 6.3% (-4.0%) | $4.08 (14.3%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (8.0%) | $113.7m (8.3%) | $-14.8m (-145.1%) | 6.4% (0.3%) | $4.38 (7.4%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (2.0%) | $138.3m (21.7%) | $78.0m (627.8%) | 7.6% (19.3%) | $5.29 (20.8%) |
| 2021 | $2.3b (25.6%) | $253.2m (83.1%) | $96.8m (24.2%) | 11.1% (45.8%) | $9.62 (81.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (22.0%) | $357.4m (41.1%) | $105.6m (9.0%) | 12.8% (15.7%) | $13.48 (40.1%) |
| 2023 | $2.9b (3.2%) | $354.9m (-0.7%) | $138.1m (30.7%) | 12.3% (-3.8%) | $13.32 (-1.2%) |
| 2024 | $3.2b (11.4%) | $362.1m (2.0%) | $-459.9m (-433.1%) | 11.3% (-8.4%) | $13.57 (1.9%) |
| 2025 | $3.2b (0.8%) | $255.0m (-29.6%) | $27.3m (105.9%) | 7.9% (-30.1%) | $9.54 (-29.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.