Discounted Cash Flow
Boston Beer Co. Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $906.4m | $87.3m | $104.3m | 9.6% | $6.93 |
| 2017 | $863.0m (-4.8%) | $99.0m (13.4%) | $103.0m (-1.2%) | 11.5% (19.1%) | $8.18 (18.0%) |
| 2018 | $995.6m (15.4%) | $92.7m (-6.4%) | $108.0m (4.8%) | 9.3% (-18.9%) | $7.90 (-3.4%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (25.5%) | $110.0m (18.8%) | $85.0m (-21.3%) | 8.8% (-5.4%) | $9.26 (17.2%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (38.9%) | $192.0m (74.4%) | $113.4m (33.4%) | 11.1% (25.6%) | $15.73 (69.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (18.5%) | $14.6m (-92.4%) | $-91.6m (-180.8%) | 0.7% (-93.6%) | $1.19 (-92.4%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (1.6%) | $67.3m (362.2%) | $109.4m (219.4%) | 3.2% (355.0%) | $5.46 (358.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (-3.9%) | $76.2m (13.4%) | $201.1m (83.9%) | 3.8% (18.0%) | $6.23 (14.1%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (0.2%) | $59.7m (-21.7%) | $172.6m (-14.1%) | 3.0% (-21.9%) | $5.07 (-18.6%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (-2.4%) | $108.5m (81.7%) | $215.6m (24.9%) | 5.5% (86.1%) | $9.90 (95.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.