Discounted Cash Flow
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.0b | $222.9m | $202.3m | 5.6% | $1.51 |
| 2017 | $3.9b (-0.4%) | $215.1m (-3.5%) | $254.7m (25.9%) | 5.5% (-3.2%) | $1.56 (3.3%) |
| 2018 | $3.9b (-0.1%) | $258.0m (20.0%) | $286.2m (12.3%) | 6.6% (20.2%) | $2.09 (34.0%) |
| 2019 | $3.9b (-1.4%) | $271.6m (5.3%) | $212.7m (-25.7%) | 7.0% (6.8%) | $2.27 (8.6%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-9.3%) | $113.2m (-58.3%) | $316.0m (48.6%) | 3.2% (-54.0%) | $0.99 (-56.4%) |
| 2021 | $3.9b (10.3%) | $239.9m (111.8%) | $308.0m (-2.6%) | 6.2% (92.1%) | $2.13 (115.2%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (-1.5%) | $183.6m (-23.5%) | $57.2m (-81.4%) | 4.8% (-22.3%) | $1.69 (-20.7%) |
| 2023 | $3.7b (-2.3%) | $184.6m (0.6%) | $158.6m (177.0%) | 5.0% (2.9%) | $1.72 (1.8%) |
| 2024 | $3.7b (-0.3%) | $153.4m (-16.9%) | $145.4m (-8.3%) | 4.1% (-16.6%) | $1.48 (-14.0%) |
| 2025 | $3.7b (-0.4%) | $195.9m (27.7%) | $172.7m (18.8%) | 5.3% (28.2%) | $1.95 (31.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.