Discounted Cash Flow

Companhia DE Saneamento Basico DO Estado DE SAO Paulo-sabesp ADR

SBS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $14.1b $4.1b $895.4m 29.3%
2017 $14.6b (3.6%) $3.5b (-15.1%) $1.3b (50.1%) 24.0% (-18.1%)
2018 $16.1b (10.1%) $3.9b (11.7%) $1.7b (27.2%) 24.3% (1.4%)
2019 $18.0b (11.8%) $4.7b (19.6%) $1.0b (-41.4%) 26.0% (6.9%) $4.93
2020 $17.8b (-1.0%) $1.3b (-71.7%) $1.7b (67.5%) 7.5% (-71.4%) $1.42 (-71.2%)
2021 $19.5b (9.5%) $3.2b (139.1%) $217.1m (-87.1%) 16.3% (118.3%) $3.37 (137.3%)
2022 $22.1b (13.2%) $4.3b (34.8%) $417.1m (92.1%) 19.4% (19.1%) $4.57 (35.6%)
2023 $25.6b (15.9%) $4.8b (11.3%) $863.0m (106.9%) 18.6% (-4.0%) $5.16 (12.9%)
2024 $36.1b (41.3%) $13.6b (187.0%) $-525.4m (-160.9%) 37.7% (103.0%) $14.02 (171.7%)
2025 $38.1b (5.4%) $11.7b (-14.2%) $-5.4b (-923.9%) 30.7% (-18.6%) $2.47 (-82.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model