Discounted Cash Flow
Southern Copper Corp./
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.4b | $776.5m | $-195.4m | 14.4% | — |
| 2017 | $6.7b (23.7%) | $728.5m (-6.2%) | $953.1m (587.8%) | 10.9% (-24.2%) | — |
| 2018 | $7.1b (6.6%) | $1.5b (111.8%) | $1.1b (16.9%) | 21.7% (98.6%) | — |
| 2019 | $7.3b (2.7%) | $1.5b (-3.7%) | $1.2b (8.1%) | 20.4% (-6.2%) | — |
| 2020 | $8.0b (9.6%) | $1.6b (5.7%) | $2.2b (81.9%) | 19.7% (-3.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $10.9b (36.9%) | $3.4b (116.3%) | $3.4b (55.2%) | 31.1% (58.0%) | $4.39 |
| 2022 | $10.0b (-8.1%) | $2.6b (-22.3%) | $1.9b (-45.5%) | 26.3% (-15.5%) | $3.41 (-22.3%) |
| 2023 | $9.9b (-1.5%) | $2.4b (-8.1%) | $2.6b (38.3%) | 24.5% (-6.7%) | $3.14 (-7.9%) |
| 2024 | $11.4b (15.5%) | $3.4b (39.2%) | $3.4b (32.4%) | 29.5% (20.5%) | $4.34 (38.2%) |
| 2025 | $13.4b (17.4%) | $4.3b (28.4%) | $3.4b (1.0%) | 32.3% (9.4%) | $5.24 (20.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.