Discounted Cash Flow

Service Corp. International

SCI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.0b $177.0m $249.1m 5.8% $0.92
2017 $3.1b (2.1%) $546.7m (208.8%) $503.4m (102.1%) 17.7% (202.4%) $2.91 (216.3%)
2018 $3.2b (3.1%) $447.2m (-18.2%) $380.3m (-24.5%) 14.0% (-20.6%) $2.45 (-15.8%)
2019 $3.2b (1.3%) $369.6m (-17.4%) $406.5m (6.9%) 11.4% (-18.4%) $2.03 (-17.1%)
2020 $3.5b (8.7%) $515.9m (39.6%) $804.4m (97.9%) 14.7% (28.4%) $2.92 (43.8%)
2021 $4.1b (18.0%) $802.9m (55.6%) $616.9m (-23.3%) 19.4% (31.9%) $4.79 (64.0%)
2022 $4.1b (-0.8%) $565.3m (-29.6%) $456.0m (-26.1%) 13.8% (-29.0%) $3.58 (-25.3%)
2023 $4.1b (-0.2%) $537.3m (-5.0%) $507.2m (11.2%) 13.1% (-4.8%) $3.57 (-0.3%)
2024 $4.2b (2.1%) $518.6m (-3.5%) $571.3m (12.6%) 12.4% (-5.5%) $3.57 (0.0%)
2025 $4.3b (2.9%) $542.6m (4.6%) $554.2m (-3.0%) 12.6% (1.6%) $3.83 (7.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model