Discounted Cash Flow

Sea Ltd. ADR

SE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $345.7m $-222.9m -64.5% $-1.30
2017 $414.2m (19.8%) $-560.5m (-151.5%) $-401.6m -135.3% (-109.9%) $-2.72 (-109.2%)
2018 $827.0m (99.7%) $-961.2m (-71.5%) $-672.6m (-67.5%) -116.2% (14.1%) $-2.84 (-4.4%)
2019 $2.2b (163.1%) $-1.5b (-52.2%) $-170.0m (74.7%) -67.2% (42.1%) $-3.35 (-18.0%)
2020 $4.4b (101.1%) $-1.6b (-10.6%) $219.6m (229.2%) -37.0% (45.0%) $-3.39 (-1.2%)
2021 $10.0b (127.5%) $-2.0b (-26.5%) $-563.5m (-356.6%) -20.6% (44.4%) $-3.84 (-13.3%)
2022 $12.4b (25.1%) $-1.7b (19.3%) $-2.0b (-251.3%) -13.3% (35.5%) $-2.96 (22.9%)
2023 $13.1b (4.9%) $150.7m (109.1%) $150.7m (107.6%) 1.2% (108.7%) $0.27 (109.1%)
2024 $16.8b (28.8%) $444.3m (194.8%) $3.0b (1863.3%) 2.6% (129.0%) $0.77 (185.2%)
2025 $19.6b (16.7%) $1.6b (255.2%) $4.5b (52.4%) 8.0% (204.4%) $2.65 (244.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model