Discounted Cash Flow
Select Medical Holdings Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $4.2b | $115.4m | $346.6m | 2.7% | $0.88 |
| 2017 | $4.4b (3.5%) | $177.2m (53.5%) | $238.1m (-31.3%) | 4.1% (48.3%) | $1.33 (51.1%) |
| 2018 | $5.1b (16.4%) | $137.8m (-22.2%) | $494.2m (107.5%) | 2.7% (-33.2%) | $1.02 (-23.3%) |
| 2019 | $5.5b (7.3%) | $148.4m (7.7%) | $445.2m (-9.9%) | 2.7% (0.3%) | $1.10 (7.8%) |
| 2020 | $5.5b (1.4%) | $259.0m (74.5%) | $1.0b (130.9%) | 4.7% (72.0%) | $1.93 (75.5%) |
| 2021 | $6.2b (12.2%) | $402.2m (55.3%) | $401.2m (-61.0%) | 6.5% (38.5%) | $2.98 (54.4%) |
| 2022 | $6.3b (2.1%) | $159.0m (-60.5%) | $94.5m (-76.5%) | 2.5% (-61.3%) | $1.23 (-58.7%) |
| 2023 | $6.7b (5.2%) | $243.5m (53.1%) | $352.9m (273.6%) | 3.7% (45.5%) | $1.91 (55.3%) |
| 2024 | $5.2b (-22.2%) | $214.0m (-12.1%) | $295.7m (-16.2%) | 4.1% (12.9%) | $1.66 (-13.1%) |
| 2025 | $5.5b (5.1%) | $146.2m (-31.7%) | $117.2m (-60.3%) | 2.7% (-35.0%) | $1.16 (-30.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.