Discounted Cash Flow
Stifel Financial Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.6b | $81.5m | $-349.2m | 3.1% | $1.16 |
| 2017 | $3.0b (13.4%) | $182.9m (124.3%) | $662.3m (289.7%) | 6.1% (97.8%) | $2.53 (118.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (-27.0%) | $394.0m (115.4%) | $529.5m (-20.1%) | 18.0% (195.2%) | $5.36 (111.9%) |
| 2019 | $2.4b (7.5%) | $448.4m (13.8%) | $626.9m (18.4%) | 19.1% (5.8%) | $5.99 (11.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.7b (13.9%) | $503.5m (12.3%) | $1.7b (165.1%) | 18.8% (-1.4%) | $4.49 (-25.0%) |
| 2021 | $3.6b (35.0%) | $824.9m (63.8%) | $872.1m (-47.5%) | 22.8% (21.4%) | $7.34 (63.5%) |
| 2022 | $3.0b (-18.4%) | $662.2m (-19.7%) | $1.1b (23.3%) | 22.4% (-1.6%) | $5.74 (-21.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.7b (-8.2%) | $522.5m (-21.1%) | $447.4m (-58.4%) | 19.3% (-14.1%) | $4.55 (-20.7%) |
| 2024 | $3.3b (21.6%) | $731.4m (40.0%) | $416.6m (-6.9%) | 22.2% (15.1%) | $6.67 (46.6%) |
| 2025 | $3.8b (14.5%) | $683.8m (-6.5%) | $1.1b (153.2%) | 18.1% (-18.3%) | $6.25 (-6.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.