Discounted Cash Flow

Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc.

SFBS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $81.5m $76.3m $1.55
2017 $93.1m (14.3%) $97.3m (27.5%) $1.76 (13.5%)
2018 $136.9m (47.1%) $166.0m (70.6%) $2.57 (46.0%)
2019 $149.2m (9.0%) $161.9m (-2.5%) $2.79 (8.6%)
2020 $169.6m (13.6%) $189.0m (16.7%) $3.15 (12.9%)
2021 $207.7m (22.5%) $256.9m (35.9%) $3.83 (21.6%)
2022 $251.5m (21.1%) $269.0m (4.7%) $4.63 (20.9%)
2023 $206.9m (-17.8%) $193.4m (-28.1%) $3.80 (-17.9%)
2024 $227.2m (9.9%) $248.3m (28.4%) $4.17 (9.7%)
2025 $276.6m (21.7%) $349.3m (40.7%) $5.06 (21.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model