Discounted Cash Flow
Stitch Fix, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $730.3m | $33.2m | $42.9m | 4.5% | $0.36 |
| 2017 | $977.1m (33.8%) | $-594.0k (-101.8%) | $38.5m (-10.3%) | -0.1% (-101.3%) | $-0.02 (-105.6%) |
| 2018 | $1.2b (25.5%) | $44.9m (7658.9%) | $55.6m (44.4%) | 3.7% (6122.1%) | $0.47 (2450.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (28.6%) | $36.9m (-17.9%) | $47.8m (-14.1%) | 2.3% (-36.1%) | $0.37 (-21.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (8.5%) | $-67.1m (-282.0%) | $12.7m (-73.5%) | -3.9% (-267.7%) | $-0.66 (-278.4%) |
| 2021 | $2.1b (22.8%) | $-8.9m (86.8%) | $-50.9m (-502.0%) | -0.4% (89.2%) | $-0.08 (87.9%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (-1.4%) | $-207.1m (-2233.5%) | $9.0m (117.8%) | -10.0% (-2265.5%) | $-1.90 (-2275.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.6b (-21.0%) | $-172.0m (17.0%) | $38.8m (329.2%) | -10.5% (-5.0%) | $-1.50 (21.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (-18.4%) | $-128.8m (25.1%) | $-23.7m (-160.9%) | -9.6% (8.2%) | $-1.07 (28.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.3b (-5.3%) | $-28.7m (77.7%) | $-16.7m (29.4%) | -2.3% (76.5%) | $-0.22 (79.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.