Discounted Cash Flow

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

SFM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.6b $129.0m $229.8m 3.6% $0.84
2017 $4.0b (12.6%) $158.4m (22.8%) $55.7m (-75.7%) 3.9% (9.1%) $1.17 (39.3%)
2018 $5.2b (28.7%) $158.5m (0.1%) $117.3m (110.5%) 3.0% (-22.2%) $1.23 (5.1%)
2019 $5.6b (8.2%) $149.6m (-5.6%) $172.0m (46.6%) 2.7% (-12.8%) $1.25 (1.6%)
2020 $6.5b (14.8%) $287.4m (92.1%) $372.1m (116.3%) 4.4% (67.3%) $2.44 (95.2%)
2021 $6.1b (-5.7%) $244.2m (-15.1%) $391.7m (5.3%) 4.0% (-9.9%) $2.12 (-13.1%)
2022 $6.1b (0.0%) $244.2m (0.0%) $262.4m (-33.0%) 4.0% (0.0%) $2.12 (0.0%)
2023 $6.8b (12.1%) $258.9m (6.0%) $146.0m (-44.4%) 3.8% (-5.4%) $2.53 (19.3%)
2024 $7.7b (12.9%) $380.6m (47.0%) $414.8m (184.1%) 4.9% (30.2%) $3.79 (49.8%)
2025 $8.8b (14.1%) $523.7m (37.6%) $467.7m (12.8%) 5.9% (20.6%) $5.36 (41.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model