Discounted Cash Flow
Saga Communications Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $142.6m | $18.2m | $24.5m | 12.8% | $3.10 |
| 2017 | $118.1m (-17.1%) | $54.7m (200.9%) | $-872.0k (-103.6%) | 46.3% (263.1%) | $9.27 (199.0%) |
| 2018 | $124.8m (5.7%) | $13.7m (-75.0%) | $19.6m (2351.9%) | 11.0% (-76.3%) | $2.30 (-75.2%) |
| 2019 | $123.1m (-1.4%) | $13.3m (-3.0%) | $19.6m (-0.2%) | 10.8% (-1.6%) | $2.23 (-3.0%) |
| 2020 | $95.8m (-22.1%) | $-1.9m (-114.4%) | $9.8m (-50.1%) | -2.0% (-118.5%) | $-0.32 (-114.3%) |
| 2021 | $108.3m (13.1%) | $11.2m (683.2%) | $15.1m (54.8%) | 10.3% (615.8%) | $1.85 (678.1%) |
| 2022 | $114.9m (6.0%) | $9.2m (-17.5%) | $11.1m (-26.5%) | 8.0% (-22.2%) | $1.52 (-17.8%) |
| 2023 | $112.8m (-1.8%) | $9.5m (3.2%) | $11.0m (-1.0%) | 8.4% (5.2%) | $1.55 (2.0%) |
| 2024 | $112.9m (0.1%) | $3.5m (-63.6%) | $10.0m (-9.2%) | 3.1% (-63.6%) | $0.55 (-64.5%) |
| 2025 | $107.1m (-5.1%) | $-7.9m (-328.3%) | $2.4m (-75.8%) | -7.4% (-340.7%) | $-1.22 (-321.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.