Discounted Cash Flow

Somnigroup International Inc.

SGI · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $3.1b $202.1m $103.1m 6.5% $3.43
2017 $2.8b (-11.9%) $151.4m (-25.1%) $155.9m (51.2%) 5.5% (-14.9%) $2.80 (-18.4%)
2018 $2.7b (-1.9%) $100.5m (-33.6%) $-98.0m (-162.9%) 3.7% (-32.4%) $1.85 (-33.9%)
2019 $3.1b (14.9%) $189.5m (88.6%) $-90.2m (8.0%) 6.1% (64.1%) $3.48 (88.1%)
2020 $3.7b (18.4%) $348.8m (84.1%) $543.4m (702.4%) 9.5% (55.5%) $1.68 (-51.7%)
2021 $4.9b (34.1%) $624.5m (79.0%) $599.8m (10.4%) 12.7% (33.5%) $3.17 (88.7%)
2022 $4.9b (-0.2%) $455.7m (-27.0%) $72.3m (-87.9%) 9.3% (-26.9%) $2.61 (-17.7%)
2023 $4.9b (0.1%) $368.1m (-19.2%) $384.9m (432.4%) 7.5% (-19.3%) $2.14 (-18.0%)
2024 $4.9b (0.1%) $384.3m (4.4%) $569.2m (47.9%) 7.8% (4.3%) $2.21 (3.3%)
2025 $7.5b (51.6%) $384.1m (-0.1%) $633.2m (11.2%) 5.1% (-34.1%) $1.86 (-15.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model