Discounted Cash Flow

Star Group, L.P.

SGU · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.2b $44.9m $91.8m 3.9%
2017 $1.3b (14.0%) $26.9m (-40.1%) $8.9m (-90.3%) 2.0% (-47.5%)
2018 $1.7b (26.8%) $55.5m (106.3%) $43.9m (393.3%) 3.3% (62.8%)
2019 $1.8b (4.5%) $17.6m (-68.2%) $86.1m (96.2%) 1.0% (-69.6%)
2020 $1.5b (-16.3%) $55.9m (217.0%) $161.5m (87.7%) 3.8% (278.9%)
2021 $1.5b (2.0%) $87.7m (56.9%) $53.8m (-66.7%) 5.9% (53.8%)
2022 $2.0b (34.0%) $35.3m (-59.8%) $15.2m (-71.7%) 1.8% (-70.0%)
2023 $2.0b (-2.7%) $31.9m (-9.5%) $114.6m (654.0%) 1.6% (-7.0%)
2024 $1.8b (-9.6%) $35.2m (10.3%) $100.3m (-12.5%) 2.0% (21.9%)
2025 $1.8b (1.0%) $73.5m (108.7%) $56.0m (-44.2%) 4.1% (106.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model