Discounted Cash Flow
Shell Plc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $233.6b | $4.6b | $-2.8b | 2.0% | $0.58 |
| 2017 | $305.2b (30.6%) | $13.0b (183.7%) | $35.6b (1395.4%) | 4.3% (117.1%) | $1.58 (172.4%) |
| 2018 | $388.4b (27.3%) | $23.4b (79.9%) | $53.1b (48.9%) | 6.0% (41.4%) | $2.82 (78.5%) |
| 2019 | $344.9b (-11.2%) | $15.8b (-32.2%) | $42.2b (-20.5%) | 4.6% (-23.6%) | $1.97 (-30.1%) |
| 2020 | $180.5b (-47.7%) | $-21.7b (-236.9%) | $32.4b (-23.2%) | -12.0% (-361.4%) | $-2.78 (-241.1%) |
| 2021 | $261.5b (44.8%) | $20.1b (192.7%) | $42.2b (30.3%) | 7.7% (164.0%) | $2.59 (193.2%) |
| 2022 | $381.3b (45.8%) | $42.3b (110.5%) | $50.0b (18.4%) | 11.1% (44.3%) | $5.76 (122.4%) |
| 2023 | $316.6b (-17.0%) | $19.4b (-54.2%) | $39.6b (-20.8%) | 6.1% (-44.9%) | $2.88 (-50.0%) |
| 2024 | $284.3b (-10.2%) | $16.1b (-16.9%) | $40.8b (3.1%) | 5.7% (-7.4%) | $2.55 (-11.5%) |
| 2025 | $266.9b (-6.1%) | $17.8b (10.8%) | $29.0b (-28.9%) | 6.7% (18.1%) | $3.03 (18.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.