Discounted Cash Flow

Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. REIT

SHO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.2b $117.5m $305.4m 9.9% $0.55
2017 $1.2b (0.4%) $131.7m (12.1%) $310.8m (1.8%) 11.0% (11.7%) $0.59 (7.3%)
2018 $1.2b (-2.9%) $236.4m (79.5%) $305.3m (-1.8%) 20.4% (84.9%) $1.05 (78.0%)
2019 $1.1b (-3.8%) $122.0m (-48.4%) $290.9m (-4.7%) 10.9% (-46.4%) $0.54 (-48.6%)
2020 $267.9m (-76.0%) $-417.6m (-442.3%) $-116.7m (-140.1%) -155.9% (-1524.7%) $-1.93 (-457.4%)
2021 $509.1m (90.0%) $13.6m (103.2%) $28.4m (124.3%) 2.7% (101.7%) $0.06 (103.1%)
2022 $912.1m (79.1%) $72.6m (435.0%) $209.4m (638.0%) 8.0% (198.7%) $0.34 (466.7%)
2023 $986.5m (8.2%) $191.7m (164.1%) $198.1m (-5.4%) 19.4% (144.2%) $0.93 (173.5%)
2024 $905.8m (-8.2%) $27.8m (-85.5%) $170.4m (-14.0%) 3.1% (-84.2%) $0.14 (-84.9%)
2025 $960.1m (6.0%) $8.2m (-70.4%) $181.8m (6.7%) 0.9% (-72.1%) $0.04 (-71.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model