Discounted Cash Flow
Steven Madden, Ltd.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.4b | $120.9m | $137.7m | 8.6% | $2.12 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (10.5%) | $117.9m (-2.5%) | $143.2m (4.0%) | 7.6% (-11.7%) | $2.14 (0.9%) |
| 2018 | $1.7b (7.0%) | $129.1m (9.5%) | $141.9m (-0.9%) | 7.8% (2.4%) | $1.58 (-26.2%) |
| 2019 | $1.8b (6.9%) | $141.3m (9.4%) | $215.5m (51.8%) | 8.0% (2.3%) | $1.78 (12.7%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (-32.8%) | $-18.4m (-113.0%) | $37.6m (-82.5%) | -1.5% (-119.4%) | $-0.23 (-112.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.9b (55.9%) | $190.7m (1136.5%) | $152.9m (306.1%) | 10.3% (764.7%) | $2.43 (1156.5%) |
| 2022 | $2.1b (13.9%) | $216.1m (13.3%) | $251.5m (64.6%) | 10.2% (-0.5%) | $2.84 (16.9%) |
| 2023 | $2.0b (-6.6%) | $171.6m (-20.6%) | $209.8m (-16.6%) | 8.7% (-15.0%) | $2.34 (-17.6%) |
| 2024 | $2.3b (15.3%) | $169.4m (-1.3%) | $172.2m (-17.9%) | 7.5% (-14.3%) | $2.38 (1.7%) |
| 2025 | $2.5b (11.0%) | $44.7m (-73.6%) | $119.5m (-30.6%) | 1.8% (-76.2%) | $0.63 (-73.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.