Discounted Cash Flow

Grupo Simec, S.A.b. de C.v. ADR

SIM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $27.5b $4.4b $2.6b 15.9% $5.97
2017 $28.7b (4.3%) $1.9b (-56.6%) $2.9b (11.5%) 6.6% (-58.4%) $3.84 (-35.7%)
2018 $35.7b (24.3%) $3.7b (92.8%) $1.6b (-45.5%) 10.2% (55.1%) $7.46 (94.3%)
2019 $34.2b (-4.2%) $-1.6b (-144.8%) $886.7m (-44.0%) -4.8% (-146.8%) $-3.52 (-147.2%)
2020 $35.9b (5.0%) $2.8b (271.0%) $3.6b (305.1%) 7.8% (263.0%) $6.04 (271.6%)
2021 $55.6b (55.1%) $-9.4b (-437.6%) $8.3b (131.4%) -17.0% (-317.7%) $20.41 (237.9%)
2022 $54.2b (-2.6%) $-7.9b (16.8%) $8.9b (6.6%) -14.5% (14.5%) $17.00 (-16.7%)
2023 $41.2b (-23.9%) $4.3b (154.5%) $4.2b (-52.9%) 10.4% (171.6%) $9.28 (-45.4%)
2024 $34.1b (-17.3%) $10.5b (144.9%) $5.4b (29.9%) 30.8% (196.0%) $22.71 (144.7%)
2025 $33.7b (-1.2%) $10.5b (-0.0%) $-2.4b (-143.5%) 31.2% (1.2%) $63.21 (178.3%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model