Discounted Cash Flow
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.0b | $745.9m | $1.5b | 14.9% | $0.15 |
| 2017 | $5.4b (8.1%) | $647.9m (-13.1%) | $1.6b (3.6%) | 11.9% (-19.7%) | $0.14 (-6.7%) |
| 2018 | $5.8b (6.4%) | $1.2b (81.5%) | $1.5b (-2.7%) | 20.4% (70.6%) | $0.26 (85.7%) |
| 2019 | $7.8b (35.1%) | $914.0m (-22.3%) | $1.7b (8.5%) | 11.7% (-42.4%) | $0.20 (-23.1%) |
| 2020 | $8.0b (3.2%) | $131.0m (-85.7%) | $131.0m (-92.1%) | 1.6% (-86.1%) | $0.03 (-85.0%) |
| 2021 | $8.7b (8.2%) | $1.3b (903.1%) | $1.6b (1129.0%) | 15.1% (827.4%) | $0.32 (966.7%) |
| 2022 | $9.0b (3.5%) | $1.2b (-7.7%) | $1.6b (-3.7%) | 13.5% (-10.8%) | $0.31 (-3.1%) |
| 2023 | $9.0b (-0.6%) | $1.3b (3.7%) | $1.2b (-22.6%) | 14.1% (4.3%) | $0.33 (6.5%) |
| 2024 | $8.7b (-2.8%) | $-1.7b (-232.4%) | $1.0b (-15.6%) | -19.1% (-236.2%) | $-6.14 (-1960.6%) |
| 2025 | $8.6b (-1.6%) | $805.0m (148.3%) | $1.2b (22.9%) | 9.4% (149.1%) | $2.38 (138.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.